My research sits at the intersection of Political Economy, Gender Violence,
Behavioural Economics and Sports Economics. I combine administrative microdata
with quasi-experimental methods to study how institutions, incentives and social
norms shape individual behaviour and economic outcomes.
Feel free to get in touch for
questions, comments or potential collaborations.
This work examines whether a policy-induced reduction in a salient local tax can increase tax compliance.
To achieve identification, we leverage a quasi-natural experiment occurring in Italy: since 2016, a regional
law has granted a reduction in the waste tax burden for inhabitants of municipalities with an efficient waste
collection system. Using municipal balance sheets data, a matched control group of non-treated municipalities,
and staggered difference-in-differences strategies, results show that, in this specific institutional setting,
the share of tax compliance in municipalities benefiting from the tax reduction increased relative to matched
non-treated municipalities (ATT = 6.4 percent). Robustness and falsification tests confirm that our findings
are specific to waste taxation remittances and pertain exclusively to the subsidized municipalities.
Presentations
65th Annual Conference of the Italian Economic Association (SIE) — University of Urbino, Italy, 2024
51st Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society (EPCS) — Vienna University of Economics, Austria, 2024
35th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Public Economics (SIEP) — University of Verona, Italy, 2023
War, Identity, and Referee Bias: Evidence from Professional FootballForthcoming
Journal of Neuroscience, Psychology, and Economics (forthcoming)
with De Luca D., Ferrari D., Giacobbe P. and Samà F.
This study examines whether and how the Russia–Ukraine war influenced refereeing behavior in European
professional football. Exploiting the outbreak of the conflict in February 2022 as an exogenous shock,
we implement a two-way fixed effects framework using detailed player–match data from UEFA Champions
League and Europa League competitions over the period 2015–2025. We show that, following the start of
the war, Russian players faced a significantly higher probability of receiving red cards when matches were
officiated by Ukrainian referees. In contrast, no comparable effects emerge for less severe disciplinary
decisions, such as yellow cards, or for routine measures of on-field interactions. The effect neither
extends to players of other nationalities nor to Ukrainian players themselves. These findings highlight
that the war did not trigger a generalized change in refereeing standards. Rather, its impact is confined
to rare and high-discretion disciplinary decisions in identity-salient contexts. Overall, the results
provide evidence that major geopolitical conflicts can generate selective behavioral distortions even
within highly regulated and formally neutral institutional environments such as international sports.
Help-Seeking After Gender-Based Violence: The Role of Local Female Political RepresentationPublished
European Journal of Political Economy, 2026, p.102832
Using data from Italy's largest network of anti-violence centers (AVCs), this study investigates whether
increased female representation in local politics affects women's access to formal support services after
experiencing gender-based violence. We focus on access to AVCs, as it represents a concrete step and a
potential turning point toward escaping violence — distinct from more informal or exploratory forms of
help-seeking. Exploiting staggered elections and the introduction of gender quotas as a natural experiment,
we adopt a shift-share instrumental variable strategy to address endogeneity. We find that greater female
political representation significantly increases the likelihood that women — especially those who are
younger or unemployed — take this first step by seeking support from AVCs. The effect is concentrated
among first-time users and in municipalities closer to an AVC. These findings are not driven by increased
violence or changes in AVC funding.
Presentations
6th World Labor Conference (SOLE–EALE–AASLE) — Toronto, Canada, June 2025
100th Annual Conference of the Western Economic Association International (WEAI) — San Francisco, USA, 2025
52nd Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society (EPCS) — Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, Latvia, 2025
36th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Public Economics (SIEP) — University of Cagliari, Italy, 2024
Female Political Representation and Budget Forecast ErrorsPublished
This paper examines how female representation in municipal executive boards — the primary budgetary
decision-making bodies in Italian local governments — affects both the accuracy and bias of budget
forecasts. We exploit Law 56/2014, which mandated gender quotas in municipalities with more than 3,000
residents, to identify causal effects. Using an instrumental variable approach, we find that a
one-percentage-point increase in the share of female aldermen reduces expenditure and revenue forecast
errors by 0.5 and 0.4 percent, respectively, and systematically mitigates the prevailing optimistic
bias in projections, particularly in pre-election years. Mechanism analyses highlight two main channels:
(i) higher levels of technical competence and (ii) lower scope for political manipulation, with the
strongest effects observed in social spending and in regions with weaker accountability.
Presentations
66th Annual Conference of the Italian Economic Association (SIE) — University of Naples Parthenope, Italy, 2025
37th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Public Economics (SIEP) — University of Naples Federico II, Italy, 2025
Enhancing the Understanding of Income Inequality among Italian Municipalities: The Role of Environmental RiskPublished
Italian Economic Journal, 2025, pp.1–86
with Errico L. and Rondinella S.
This study examines the relationship between environmental risks — such as hydrogeological hazards,
landslides, volcanic zones, and earthquakes — and income inequality across Italian municipalities,
using a comprehensive dataset from 2010 to 2020. Our analysis reveals that municipalities exposed to
higher risks, particularly from hydrogeological and landslide hazards, exhibit significantly higher
levels of income inequality. Conversely, earthquake risk, notably in Southern Italy, is associated
with lower levels of inequality, likely attributable to its disproportionate impact on wealthier
individuals, who are more susceptible to real estate and investment losses, further exacerbated by
the economic uncertainty associated with such hazards. These findings underscore the importance of
focused mitigation strategies and effective communication policies aimed not only at minimizing the
physical impacts of these hazards but also at addressing the economic uncertainties they engender,
thereby fostering more equitable economic outcomes.
Ethnic Minorities and Income Inequality: The Albanian Community in ItalyPublished
Journal of Economic Studies, 2025, 52(1), pp.38–54
with Errico L. and Rondinella S.
This study explores whether ethnic minorities exhibit varying levels of income inequality compared to
the host population. The research leverages a unique immigration event in Italy, specifically the
settlement of multiple Albanian groups in southern Italy during the 16th century. This historical
occurrence enables an investigation into the role of cultural traits in income inequality, as these
groups are situated in the same geographical region and often share borders. The results, which remain
consistent after undergoing various robustness checks, indicate that Albanian villages, while still
preserving their identity and tradition, tend to experience an approximately 2% lower level of income
concentration compared to similar Italian municipalities. Our findings aim to provide supporting
evidence for future policy considerations regarding the long-term impact of immigration on income
inequality.
Home Advantage, Crowding, and Gender Referee: Evidence from Major Women's LeaguesPublishedEditor's Choice
Journal of Neuroscience, Psychology, and Economics, 2024, 17(3–4), p.145
with Errico L., Ferrari D., Morabito L. and Rondinella S.
This article explores the presence of home advantage concerning both team performance and referee
decisions in major women's soccer leagues. Specifically, we investigate whether this phenomenon is
associated with crowding, using stadium attendance density as an explanatory factor, moving beyond
the binary distinction between open and closed doors. Drawing on a unique dataset spanning various
women's soccer leagues from 2018 to 2023, our findings indicate that teams in densely populated
stadiums demonstrate enhanced performance across all examined indicators. This underscores the
significance of stadium noise, rather than merely the presence of fans, in influencing home team
performance. Additionally, a slight home advantage in terms of referee decisions is observed
exclusively in matches officiated by male referees, regardless of stadium crowds. This suggests that
male referees may experience heightened home pressure compared to their female counterparts.
The Effect of Priming Student Identity on IQ-Test Score: Evidence from a Randomized Control TrialPublished
Italian Economic Journal, 2023, 10(2), pp.733–759
with Ordine P. and Rose G.
This work evaluates whether by rendering more salient to students their own student identity it is
possible to increase their effort and performance in an IQ-test. The idea is based on the assumption
that individuals' behaviour is often influenced by cues that work subconsciously and prime them to
behave in certain ways. By implementing a randomized control trial on students of two universities
in two European countries — namely the University of Essex (UK) and the University of Calabria
(Italy) — we report that students primed with pictures and videos targeted to render their student
identity more salient obtain higher IQ-test scores than students exposed to neutral pictures/videos.
Presentations
37th Conference of the Italian Association of Labour Economics (AIEL)
XXXV European Society for Population Economics (ESPE)
University-Court Proximity: What Are the Effects on the Legal System Performance?Published
Regional Economy, 2023, 7(Q1), pp.21–33
with Errico L. and Rondinella S.
This paper investigates whether and to what extent the proximity of the court location and the nearest
university affect court productivity. We exploit data from the Italian Ministry of Justice during the
period 2014–2021 by considering the length of proceedings as the outcome variable. Results show that
the average time to conclude legal proceedings increases as the distance between courts and universities
increases. However, only courts located in the Centre-North of Italy benefit from the spatial spillovers
deriving from the proximity to the university.
Working papers
The Political Economy of Femicides: Local Spending Responses, Electoral Incentives and Nationality BiasUnder Review
We study how Italian municipalities adjust fiscal policy after femicides and whether migration-related
concerns shape these responses. Linking administrative data on femicides with municipal budgets, we use
staggered difference-in-differences models treating femicides as shocks to the local salience of violence.
Femicides lead to sizable, persistent increases in security spending, concentrated on local police, with
little expansion of prevention or social services for women at risk. The response is much larger and
longer-lasting when the perpetrator is foreign-born. This pattern suggests that high-profile crimes by
foreigners are politicized as public-order threats, diverting scarce resources toward visible security
measures instead of victim-support.
Presentations
37th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Public Economics (SIEP) — University of Naples Federico II, Italy, 2025
40th Annual Meeting of the European Economic Association (EEA) — Bordeaux School of Economics, France, 2025
Voting After Gendered Shocks: The Impact of Femicides on Electoral PreferencesUnder Review
We estimate how local femicides affect voting and turnout in subsequent Italian parliamentary elections.
We merge a geocoded registry of femicides (2011–2022) with municipality-level results for the national
elections (2013, 2018, 2022) and exploit staggered exposure to a municipality's first femicide. Using
difference-in-differences estimators designed for staggered adoption, we find an electoral backlash
against the Center-Right coalition: its vote share falls by about 2.2 percentage points, with offsetting
gains for the Five Star Movement (+1.0 pp) and the Center-Left (+0.5 pp). Femicides also reduce
participation: turnout declines by about 0.8 percentage points, with larger declines among women than men.
Heterogeneity by nationality suggests that backlash is concentrated in cases involving Italian victims or
Italian perpetrators; when the perpetrator is foreign, the Center-Right effect is small and statistically
indistinguishable from zero. The results are consistent with electoral sanctioning and demobilization
following salient failures of protection, with attribution shaped by identity cues.
Soccer Matches as Emotional Stressors and Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Daily AVC AdmissionsUnder Review
with De Luca D., Giacobbe P., Ordine P. and Rose G.
We merge original daily data on admissions to an Anti-Violence Center (AVC) in Southern Italy with the
local soccer team's match results from 2013–2018 to test whether sporting events influence violence
against women. We find that home defeats lead to a significant increase in AVC admissions, with effects
amplified when the team was favored to win according to betting odds. The impact is concentrated in cases
involving partners or ex-partners and among Italian perpetrators. Overall, the results indicate that
salient emotional events can exacerbate dynamics within abusive relationships. Importantly, our evidence
suggests that women's decisions to seek formal support and begin a pathway out of violence are often made
immediately after a tipping point in ongoing abuse.
Presentations
37th Annual Conference of the Italian Society for Public Economics (SIEP) — University of Naples Federico II, Italy, 2025
Aligning Finance with Sustainability: Evidence from BanksUnder Review
with Yılmaz I., Rondinella S. and Silipo D.
To align the bank's business and portfolio with the UN Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris
Climate Agreement, the United Nations launched in 2019 the UN Principles for Sustainable Banking.
More than half of the banking industry worldwide adhered to the principles. We build up a dataset
which includes all the banks that adhered to the UN Principles (277) and a sample of 669 peer nonmember
banks from 77 countries to study what are the determinants and effects of membership on banking behavior
and performance. The results show that larger, listed and riskier banks are more likely to join the UN
Principles. In contrast, a higher intensity of CO₂ (CO₂/GDP) of the country, climate-related natural
disasters, public awareness of global warming, or the Paris agreement do not stimulate the likelihood of
adherence. Interestingly, a higher bank's market power decreases the incentive to join the UN Principles.
The behaviour and performance of member banks relative to non-members did not change significantly upon
membership. Member banks overstate their green language in the annual report in relation to their behaviour
and ESG performance, although only 27% of them reveal information about the CO₂ content of their loans.
Overall, the paper suggests that current UN Principles do not spur the green transition and highlights the
symbolic nature of voluntary green commitments in banking.
Presentations
2025 World Finance Conference
66th Annual Conference of the Italian Economic Association (SIE)
Work against Violence Against Women: The Case of Employment Incentives to Victims Hosted by Anti-Violence CentersSubmitted
with Ordine P. and Rose G.
This study analyzes whether active policy measures aimed at improving employment opportunities for women
who are victims of intimate partner violence might lead to a reduction in the number of violent episodes.
The empirical study exploits a temporary reform in Italian policy which, in 2018, provided financial
incentives to firms established as social cooperatives for the permanent hiring of women who were victims
of violence and involved in a recovery program at an anti-violence center. Identification is achieved by
exploiting the fact that these firms are distributed across Italian provinces with a high degree of
heterogeneity. The main result shows that after the introduction of the reform the number of recurring
cases registered in anti-violence centers decreased most where there is a greater presence of incentivized
firms. Victims' economic empowerment, improvement in household income and a reduction in exposure time are
all channels consistent with this result.
Identity and Racial Bias in Professional Football: Evidence from Refereeing DecisionsSubmitted
This paper studies whether disciplinary sanctions in European professional football differ systematically by player race.
Using player–match data from UEFA Champions League and Europa League competitions, we show that Black players are more likely than otherwise comparable non–Black players to receive both yellow and red cards.
In our preferred specification, the gap is about 1.2 percentage points for yellow cards and 0.18 percentage points for red cards.
We find no meaningful difference in net fouls committed, suggesting that observable on–field conduct alone is unlikely to account for the sanctioning gap.
We then examine whether this differential varies across contexts.
Identity–related proximity between referee and player does not reveal a systematic pattern of heterogeneity, while the yellow–card gap is larger among Black players with conflict–related background, consistent with a possible behavioral channel.
Additional results show that VAR and home advantage do not systematically reduce the gap.
Overall, the paper documents a persistent sanctioning gap by player race in a highly regulated sporting environment.
The Role of Natural Hazard on Income InequalityF. Pastore Award
with Errico L. and Rondinella S.
This study investigates the relationship between environmental risks and income inequality within
Italian municipalities, utilising data spanning from 2010 to 2020. Specifically, leveraging a unique
dataset drawing upon various sources, we analyse the impact of environmental hazards such as
hydrogeological risks, landslides, volcanic zones, and earthquakes on income distribution. Our
findings suggest that municipalities facing heightened environmental risks tend to exhibit increased
income inequality, with results being driven by hydrogeological risks, landslides, and volcanic zones.
On the other hand, earthquake risk appears to alleviate income inequality, particularly in the South
of the country. Our results underscore the significance of preventive and communication measures not
only in mitigating the impact of such natural hazards but also in managing the associated economic
uncertainty.
Presentations
XXIII AISSEC Scientific Conference — University of Verona–Vicenza
Work in progress
Pathways out of Violence: Evidence on the Role of a Temporary Cash Transfer to Victims of Abuse in ItalyVisitINPS Fellowship 2024
with Bhalotra S., Ordine P., Rose G. and Rubolino E.
Teaching
Feel free to contact me for syllabi or further information.
Università Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Economics of Crime
a.y. 2023–2024 · 2024–2025 · 2025–2026
Contacts
I welcome inquiries from students, collaborators and policy practitioners.